Google researchers have published findings that tighten the timeline on one of the most consequential threat scenarios in digital finance: a quantum computer capable of breaking the cryptographic foundations of Bitcoin and other blockchain-based assets. The specific target is elliptic-curve cryptography — and more precisely, the elliptic curve discrete logarithm problem for 256-bit curves (ECDLP-256), which underlies the key pairs that secure Bitcoin wallets and transactions. The researchers’ updated estimates reduce the quantum computing hardware requirements needed to execute such an attack, meaning the capability threshold is lower than the field previously assumed.